发行商
环球外汇网 |
基本 分析 | 2011年 12月 2日 08:37 GMT |
澳洲联邦银行(Commonwealth Bank of Australia)周五(12月2日)下调了澳元明年预期,将澳元/美元2012年年中预期由之前的1.0800下调至0.9500。澳洲联邦银行称,亚洲GDP增速放缓很可能导致亚洲货币汇率走低;澳元可能小幅走低。该行称,由于全球需求疲软,大宗商品价格很可能维持在近期高点下方。此外,澳洲联储很可能降息,这在一定程度上削弱澳元的吸引力。其它货币方面,澳洲联邦银行表示,随著美国经济重获动能,美元需求有望增加。同时,全球央行很可能减少官方储备中欧元的比例,美元将再度获得青睐。此外,该机构还下调了2012年全球经济增长预期,将2012年全球经济增长预期由之前的上升4.3%降至3.5%左右。其中,将中国2012年经济增长预期由9.0%下调至8.7%。澳洲联邦银行称,下调中国国内生产总值(GDP)增速预期的主要原因是内需增长减慢。澳洲联邦银行表示,2011年年底至2012年年初欧元区经济很可能将陷入温和衰退。未来数月欧洲央行(European Central Bank)可能会减息约75个基点来应对这一局面。北京时间13:45,澳元/美元报1.0218/22。
免责声明: Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. All CFDs (stocks, indexes, futures) and Forex prices are not provided by exchanges but rather by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual market price, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Therefore Fusion Media doesn`t bear any responsibility for any trading losses you might incur as a result of using this data .
Fusion Media or anyone involved with Fusion Media will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals contained within this website. Please be fully informed regarding the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, it is one of the riskiest investment forms possible.